Consumer Confidence Rebounds, Driven By Confidence In The Broader U.S. Economy

Consumer confidence increased significantly over the past two weeks, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). Following a 2.2 point drop from May 14 to June 11, the ESI rebounded over the past two weeks, increasing 2.6 points to reach 54.2 – its highest level since February 2018.

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All five of the ESI indicators increased during the reading. Confidence in the broader U.S. economy rose the most, increasing 4.2 points to 50.7, its highest reading since September 2018. Consumer confidence in making a major purchase rose 3.1 points to 56.6. Confidence in personal finances and the housing market also increased, rising 3.0 points and 2.1 points respectfully. Economic sentiment toward the labor market was the slowest rising indicator increasing 0.6 points to 45.0, well below its 2019 high of 48.1 in May.

The increase in consumer confidence comes as the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged, but signaled potentially cutting rates in the coming months.

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The three-day rolling average began the period at its low point, starting at 51.5 on June 12. The moving average steadily increased to reach its peak of 55.6 on June 21, before closing out the reading on June 25 slightly below the peak at 55.5.

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The next release of the ESI will be on Tuesday, July 9, 2019.

About the Index

The HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (“ESI”) is a “living” index that measures U.S. adults’ expectations for the economy going forward, as well as their feelings about current conditions for major purchases. The primary goal of the Index is to accurately measure movements in overall national economic sentiment, and to provide a more sophisticated alternative to existing economic sentiment indices. Unlike other prominent indices that release consumer sentiment estimates infrequently, the HPS-CivicScience Index is updated in real time as responses are collected continuously every hour, every day. Large-scale cross-tabulation of survey responses and consumer attributes enable more granular analyses than are currently possible through prevailing measures.

For a more detailed overview of the Index and the underlying methodology, please request a white paper.

About Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS)

Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS) is an analytical public affairs consulting firm with offices in Washington, D.C. and San Francisco. We integrate substantive analysis with communications and believe a deep understanding of business and economics leads to more effective public engagement and better outcomes for our clients.

For more information, visit Hamilton Place Strategies by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @HPSInsight.

About CivicScience

CivicScience, Inc. provides the leading intelligent polling and real-time consumer insights platform, the InsightStore™. Its proprietary platform powers the world’s opinions and quickly gets that data to the decision makers who care. Every day, CivicScience polls ask millions of people questions related to thousands of topics, while its powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.ts powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.

Consumer Confidence Continues Slide As Confidence In Labor Market Plummets

Consumer confidence continued to decline over the past two weeks, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). Following a 0.9-point drop at the end of May, the ESI declined by 1.3 points to 51.6 points over the past two weeks, the largest drop this year. The decline brings the ESI to its lowest reading since March.


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Four of the ESI’s five indicators decreased during the reading. Consumer confidence in the labor market experienced the largest drop, declining by 3.7 points to 44.4 – its lowest point since January of this year. Economic sentiment toward the broader U.S. economy and personal finances also dropped, decreasing by 1.5 and 1.2 points, respectively. Sentiment toward the broader economy is at its lowest point since February of this year. Confidence in making a major purchase also declined by 0.3 points. Meanwhile, economic sentiment toward the housing market was the lone indicator to improve, rising 0.3 points to 49.8.

The decline in consumer confidence comes as the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ May jobs report came in under expectations, with just 75,000 jobs added to the U.S. economy. The report followed data from payroll processor ADP that shows private employers added 27,000 private-sector jobs during May, the lowest number since 2010.

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The three-day rolling average started out at its peak, beginning at 54.8 points on May 29 before dropping to a low of 49.3 on June 2. The moving average trended upward and before closing out the reading period at 52.6 on June 11, 2.2 points below its peak.

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The next release of the ESI will be on Tuesday, June 25, 2019.

About the Index

The HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (“ESI”) is a “living” index that measures U.S. adults’ expectations for the economy going forward, as well as their feelings about current conditions for major purchases. The primary goal of the Index is to accurately measure movements in overall national economic sentiment, and to provide a more sophisticated alternative to existing economic sentiment indices. Unlike other prominent indices that release consumer sentiment estimates infrequently, the HPS-CivicScience Index is updated in real time as responses are collected continuously every hour, every day. Large-scale cross-tabulation of survey responses and consumer attributes enable more granular analyses than are currently possible through prevailing measures.

For a more detailed overview of the Index and the underlying methodology, please request a white paper.

About Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS)

Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS) is an analytical public affairs consulting firm with offices in Washington, D.C. and San Francisco. We integrate substantive analysis with communications and believe a deep understanding of business and economics leads to more effective public engagement and better outcomes for our clients.

For more information, visit Hamilton Place Strategies by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @HPSInsight.

About CivicScience

CivicScience, Inc. provides the leading intelligent polling and real-time consumer insights platform, the InsightStore™. Its proprietary platform powers the world’s opinions and quickly gets that data to the decision makers who care. Every day, CivicScience polls ask millions of people questions related to thousands of topics, while its powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.ts powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.

Consumer Confidence Falls, Led By Declining Confidence In Making A Major Purchase

Consumer confidence fell significantly the past two weeks, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI), decreasing by 0.9 points. The ESI has risen over the past two months, but decreased over the past two weeks to 52.9, its largest decline since January.


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Three out of the ESI’s five indicators decreased during the reading. Consumer confidence in making a major purchase experienced the largest decline, falling 2.3 points to reach 53.8. This decrease was trailed by a 2.2 point decrease in economic sentiment toward the broader economy which fell to 48.0, ending its 2019 climb. Consumer confidence in the broader housing market also fell to a two month low of 49.5 points. Meanwhile, confidence in personal finances rose to 65.0, a 1.1 point increase. Labor market confidence also rose 0.6 points to 48.1, its highest reading since November.

The significant decrease to the ESI comes amid mixed economic signals for consumers. The unemployment rate remains at a record low, but increased tariffs on China have sparked fears of slowing the US economy and increasing prices for consumers.


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The three-day rolling average was volatile during the reading period, fluctuating from a low of 50.3 points on Monday, May 20 to its peak of 54.2 points on Thursday, May 23. The rolling average closed below peak at 53.6.


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The next release of the ESI will be on Tuesday, June 11, 2019.

About the Index

The HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (“ESI”) is a “living” index that measures U.S. adults’ expectations for the economy going forward, as well as their feelings about current conditions for major purchases. The primary goal of the Index is to accurately measure movements in overall national economic sentiment, and to provide a more sophisticated alternative to existing economic sentiment indices. Unlike other prominent indices that release consumer sentiment estimates infrequently, the HPS-CivicScience Index is updated in real time as responses are collected continuously every hour, every day. Large-scale cross-tabulation of survey responses and consumer attributes enable more granular analyses than are currently possible through prevailing measures.

For a more detailed overview of the Index and the underlying methodology, please request a white paper.

About Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS)

Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS) is an analytical public affairs consulting firm with offices in Washington, D.C. and San Francisco. We integrate substantive analysis with communications and believe a deep understanding of business and economics leads to more effective public engagement and better outcomes for our clients.

For more information, visit Hamilton Place Strategies by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @HPSInsight.

About CivicScience

CivicScience, Inc. provides the leading intelligent polling and real-time consumer insights platform, the InsightStore™. Its proprietary platform powers the world’s opinions and quickly gets that data to the decision makers who care. Every day, CivicScience polls ask millions of people questions related to thousands of topics, while its powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.ts powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.

Economic Sentiment Increases Slightly, Despite Declining Confidence In Personal Finances

Consumer confidence rose slightly over the past two weeks, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI), increasing by 0.2 points. The ESI has mostly risen over the past two months, rising for three of the past four readings increasing 1.3 points to reach 53.8 – its highest level of 2019.


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Three out of the ESI’s five indicators increased during the reading. Consumer confidence in making a major purchase experienced the largest increase, rising 1.1 points to reach 56.1. This increase was trailed by a 0.5-point increase in economic sentiment toward the broader economy which rose to 50.2, as it continued its 2019 climb. Consumer confidence in the broader housing market jumped slightly to 51.3 while confidence in the labor market remained unchanged. Meanwhile, confidence in personal finances fell to a reading 63.9, a decline of 0.7 points.

The slow and steady increase to the ESI come amid mixed economic signals for consumers. The unemployment rate hit its lowest level in a half-century in the most recent report released on May 3. While the labor market has been an engine of growth, fears about a re-escalation in trade tensions with China have led to increased stock market volatility and fueled fears of rising prices for consumers.


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The three-day rolling average ended the reading period near its peak. The moving average began at 55.4 on May 1 before dropping to a low of 53.1 on May 4 and 5. The rolling average then increased over the past week, reaching a peak of 54.8 points on the penultimate day of the reading period, before closing slightly lower at 54.5.


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The next release of the ESI will be on Tuesday, May 28, 2019.

About the Index

The HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (“ESI”) is a “living” index that measures U.S. adults’ expectations for the economy going forward, as well as their feelings about current conditions for major purchases. The primary goal of the Index is to accurately measure movements in overall national economic sentiment, and to provide a more sophisticated alternative to existing economic sentiment indices. Unlike other prominent indices that release consumer sentiment estimates infrequently, the HPS-CivicScience Index is updated in real time as responses are collected continuously every hour, every day. Large-scale cross-tabulation of survey responses and consumer attributes enable more granular analyses than are currently possible through prevailing measures.

For a more detailed overview of the Index and the underlying methodology, please request a white paper.

About Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS)

Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS) is an analytical public affairs consulting firm with offices in Washington, D.C. and San Francisco. We integrate substantive analysis with communications and believe a deep understanding of business and economics leads to more effective public engagement and better outcomes for our clients.

For more information, visit Hamilton Place Strategies by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @HPSInsight.

About CivicScience

CivicScience, Inc. provides the leading intelligent polling and real-time consumer insights platform, the InsightStore™. Its proprietary platform powers the world’s opinions and quickly gets that data to the decision makers who care. Every day, CivicScience polls ask millions of people questions related to thousands of topics, while its powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.ts powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.

Economic Sentiment Reaches New 2019 Peak Led By Growing Confidence In Labor Market

Consumer confidence bounced back over the past two weeks, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). Following a 0.5-point drop between the beginning of April and Tax Day, the ESI increased from 52.5 to 53.6 points over the past two weeks, surpassing its previous 2019 high of 53.0.


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Three out of the ESI’s five indicators increased during the reading. Consumer confidence in the labor market experienced the largest increase, rising 2.4 points to reach 47.5. With Tax Day now in the rearview, economic sentiment toward personal finances improved as well, moving up 1.7 points to hit 64.6. Confidence in the broader U.S. economy also ticked up, increasing from 48.3 to 49.7 points. Meanwhile, economic sentiment toward the housing market dropped by 0.4 points to 51.0, while confidence in making a major purchase remained at 55.0 points.

The increase in consumer confidence comes as the Commerce Department announced a preliminary first-quarter growth rate of 3.2 percent, following gains in jobs and wage growth during March.


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The three-day rolling average ended the reading period at its peak. The moving average began at 53.3 on April 17 before dropping to a low of 51.4 on April 24. The rolling average then steadily increased over the past week, reaching a high of 55.2 points to close out the reading on April 30.


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The next release of the ESI will be on Tuesday, May 14, 2019.

About the Index

The HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (“ESI”) is a “living” index that measures U.S. adults’ expectations for the economy going forward, as well as their feelings about current conditions for major purchases. The primary goal of the Index is to accurately measure movements in overall national economic sentiment, and to provide a more sophisticated alternative to existing economic sentiment indices. Unlike other prominent indices that release consumer sentiment estimates infrequently, the HPS-CivicScience Index is updated in real time as responses are collected continuously every hour, every day. Large-scale cross-tabulation of survey responses and consumer attributes enable more granular analyses than are currently possible through prevailing measures.

For a more detailed overview of the Index and the underlying methodology, please request a white paper.

About Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS)

Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS) is an analytical public affairs consulting firm with offices in Washington, D.C. and San Francisco. We integrate substantive analysis with communications and believe a deep understanding of business and economics leads to more effective public engagement and better outcomes for our clients.

For more information, visit Hamilton Place Strategies by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @HPSInsight.

About CivicScience

CivicScience, Inc. provides the leading intelligent polling and real-time consumer insights platform, the InsightStore™. Its proprietary platform powers the world’s opinions and quickly gets that data to the decision makers who care. Every day, CivicScience polls ask millions of people questions related to thousands of topics, while its powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.ts powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.

Consumer Confidence Dips Slightly As Confidence In Personal Finances Drops

Consumer confidence decreased slightly over the past two weeks, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). Though the ESI dropped 0.5 points down to 52.5 points during the beginning of April, consumer confidence remains just under its 2019 high of 53.0 back in mid-March.


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Three out of the ESI’s five indicators dropped during the reading. Consumer confidence in personal finances experienced the largest drop, falling by 2.2 points to a level of 62.9. Economic sentiment toward making a major purchase and the labor market fell as well, with both moving down by 0.3 points to hit 55.0 and 45.1 points, respectively. Meanwhile, consumer confidence in the housing market increased from 51.0 to 51.4 points, while confidence in the broader U.S. economy rose by a mere 0.1 points.


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Following a tumultuous reading period, the three-day rolling average ended the reading period on a high note. The moving average began at 50.7 on April 3 before dropping to a low of 50.2 on April 5. The rolling average then reversed course, rising to peak at 54.3 on April 11 before closing out the reading period at 53.9.


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The next release of the ESI will be on Tuesday, April 30, 2019.

About the Index

The HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (“ESI”) is a “living” index that measures U.S. adults’ expectations for the economy going forward, as well as their feelings about current conditions for major purchases. The primary goal of the Index is to accurately measure movements in overall national economic sentiment, and to provide a more sophisticated alternative to existing economic sentiment indices. Unlike other prominent indices that release consumer sentiment estimates infrequently, the HPS-CivicScience Index is updated in real time as responses are collected continuously every hour, every day. Large-scale cross-tabulation of survey responses and consumer attributes enable more granular analyses than are currently possible through prevailing measures.

For a more detailed overview of the Index and the underlying methodology, please request a white paper.

About Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS)

Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS) is an analytical public affairs consulting firm with offices in Washington, D.C. and San Francisco. We integrate substantive analysis with communications and believe a deep understanding of business and economics leads to more effective public engagement and better outcomes for our clients.

For more information, visit Hamilton Place Strategies by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @HPSInsight.

About CivicScience

CivicScience, Inc. provides the leading intelligent polling and real-time consumer insights platform, the InsightStore™. Its proprietary platform powers the world’s opinions and quickly gets that data to the decision makers who care. Every day, CivicScience polls ask millions of people questions related to thousands of topics, while its powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.ts powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.

Economic Sentiment Improves, Led By Confidence In The Housing Market

Consumer confidence rose considerably over the past two weeks, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). Following a fairly stable month of March, the ESI experienced a 1.9 point increase during this first reading of April, rising to 53.0— a new high for 2019.

All of the ESI’s five indicators increased during the reading period. Consumer confidence in making a major purchase reached its highest level in a year of 55.3, an increase of 3.2 points from the previous reading. This increase was matched by a rise in consumer confidence in the housing market, which also rose by 3.2 points from 47.8 to 50.9 points. Economic sentiment toward personal finances also jumped, moving up by 2.7 points to 65.1. Confidence in the labor market and the broader economy increased slightly, rising by just 0.3 points and 0.2 points, respectively.

The increasing confidence in making a major purchase comes amid early reports of a strong housing market. As The Wall Street Journal reported recently, this spring season is “shaping up to be the best in years” as mortgage rates fall, home inventory rises, and the rate of home price growth steadies.

The three-day rolling average was fairly volatile during the reading period. The rolling average began at 50.4 on March 20 before increasing to 54.0 on March 26. The moving average ultimately ended the reading slightly down at 52.8 on April 2.

The next release of the ESI will be on Tuesday, April 16, 2019.

About the Index

The HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (“ESI”) is a “living” index that measures U.S. adults’ expectations for the economy going forward, as well as their feelings about current conditions for major purchases. The primary goal of the Index is to accurately measure movements in overall national economic sentiment, and to provide a more sophisticated alternative to existing economic sentiment indices. Unlike other prominent indices that release consumer sentiment estimates infrequently, the HPS-CivicScience Index is updated in real time as responses are collected continuously every hour, every day. Large-scale cross-tabulation of survey responses and consumer attributes enable more granular analyses than are currently possible through prevailing measures.

For a more detailed overview of the Index and the underlying methodology, please request a white paper.

About Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS)

Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS) is an analytical public affairs consulting firm with offices in Washington, D.C. and San Francisco. We integrate substantive analysis with communications and believe a deep understanding of business and economics leads to more effective public engagement and better outcomes for our clients.

For more information, visit Hamilton Place Strategies by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @HPSInsight.

About CivicScience

CivicScience, Inc. provides the leading intelligent polling and real-time consumer insights platform, the InsightStore™. Its proprietary platform powers the world’s opinions and quickly gets that data to the decision makers who care. Every day, CivicScience polls ask millions of people questions related to thousands of topics, while its powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.ts powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.

Consumer Confidence Slips, Driven By Decline In Confidence In Personal Finances

Consumer confidence slipped slightly over the past two weeks, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). The 0.4-point drop to 51.1 in the first half of March reverses the ESI’s modest recovery throughout 2019 so far.


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Three out of the ESI’s five indicators increased during the reading. The only indicator to increase significantly was consumer confidence in the broader U.S. economy, which moved up by 0.6 to hit 48.0 points. Economic sentiment toward the housing and labor markets each ticked up by a mere 0.1 to reach 47.8 and 45.1 points, respectively. Meanwhile, the largest change in any indicator was a decline in consumer confidence in personal finances, which decreased by 2.0 points to a reading of 62.4. Economic sentiment toward making a major purchase also fell, dropping from 53.2 to 52.1 points.


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The three-day rolling average ended the reading period on a low note. Beginning at a high of 54.0 on March 6, the rolling average dropped to 50.4 on March 9 before increasing to 52.5 on March 15. The moving average subsequently reversed course again, dropping down to its low point of 49.7 on March 19 before ending the reading period at 49.9 on March 19.


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The next release of the ESI will be on Tuesday, April 2, 2019.

About the Index

The HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (“ESI”) is a “living” index that measures U.S. adults’ expectations for the economy going forward, as well as their feelings about current conditions for major purchases. The primary goal of the Index is to accurately measure movements in overall national economic sentiment, and to provide a more sophisticated alternative to existing economic sentiment indices. Unlike other prominent indices that release consumer sentiment estimates infrequently, the HPS-CivicScience Index is updated in real time as responses are collected continuously every hour, every day. Large-scale cross-tabulation of survey responses and consumer attributes enable more granular analyses than are currently possible through prevailing measures.

For a more detailed overview of the Index and the underlying methodology, please request a white paper.

About Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS)

Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS) is an analytical public affairs consulting firm with offices in Washington, D.C. and San Francisco. We integrate substantive analysis with communications and believe a deep understanding of business and economics leads to more effective public engagement and better outcomes for our clients.

For more information, visit Hamilton Place Strategies by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @HPSInsight.

About CivicScience

CivicScience, Inc. provides the leading intelligent polling and real-time consumer insights platform, the InsightStore™. Its proprietary platform powers the world’s opinions and quickly gets that data to the decision makers who care. Every day, CivicScience polls ask millions of people questions related to thousands of topics, while its powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.ts powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.

Consumer Confidence Holds Steady Heading Into March

Consumer confidence ticked up slightly over the past two weeks, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). Following December’s precipitous drop and the ESI’s modest recovery throughout 2019 so far, during the latest reading consumer confidence increased by a mere 0.1 points to 51.5.


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Three out of the ESI’s five indicators increased during the reading. The largest increase was consumer confidence in making a major purchase, which rose by 1.3 points to a reading of 53.2. Consumer confidence in the broader U.S. economy increased from 46.9 to 47.4 points. Economic sentiment toward the housing market also rose slightly, moving up by 0.3 points. Confidence in the labor market and personal finances both fell, dropping by 0.8 points and 0.5 points, respectively.

The steadiness of the ESI came as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell noted in a recent testimony on Capitol Hill that the economy is “in a good place” and that potential risks to growth have led the Fed to remain patient in its approach to deciding when to raise interest rates


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The three-day rolling average ended the reading period on the upswing, beginning with a reading of 51.7 on February 20 and dropping to a low of 48.8 on March 2 before reaching its peak of 54.4 on March 5.


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The next release of the ESI will be on Tuesday, March 19, 2019.

About the Index

The HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (“ESI”) is a “living” index that measures U.S. adults’ expectations for the economy going forward, as well as their feelings about current conditions for major purchases. The primary goal of the Index is to accurately measure movements in overall national economic sentiment, and to provide a more sophisticated alternative to existing economic sentiment indices. Unlike other prominent indices that release consumer sentiment estimates infrequently, the HPS-CivicScience Index is updated in real time as responses are collected continuously every hour, every day. Large-scale cross-tabulation of survey responses and consumer attributes enable more granular analyses than are currently possible through prevailing measures.

For a more detailed overview of the Index and the underlying methodology, please request a white paper.

About Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS)

Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS) is an analytical public affairs consulting firm with offices in Washington, D.C. and San Francisco. We integrate substantive analysis with communications and believe a deep understanding of business and economics leads to more effective public engagement and better outcomes for our clients.

For more information, visit Hamilton Place Strategies by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @HPSInsight.

About CivicScience

CivicScience, Inc. provides the leading intelligent polling and real-time consumer insights platform, the InsightStore™. Its proprietary platform powers the world’s opinions and quickly gets that data to the decision makers who care. Every day, CivicScience polls ask millions of people questions related to thousands of topics, while its powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.ts powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.

Consumer Confidence Continues Its 2019 Recovery

Consumer confidence recovered for the second week in a row, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). The ESI rose 1.4 points, as it continues to trend upwards in 2019 after dropping almost 5 points in December.


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Four out of five of the ESI’s indicators increased during the reading period. The largest increase was consumer confidence in making a major purchase, which rose by 4.8 points to a reading of 51.9. The second largest rise was confidence in the broader economy, which went up by 2.0 points to 46.9. Despite renewed confidence in the broader economy and making a major purchase, economic sentiment toward personal finances fell by 1.4 points to 64.9. Economic sentiment toward the housing and labor markets also rose slightly, increasing by 0.8 and 0.5 points, respectively.

The recovery in the ESI this winter seems to be driven by an easing of the political and economic uncertainty that plagued December. On Friday, February 15, lawmakers reached an agreement on keeping the federal government open, the Federal Reserve has indicated it will slowly raise interest rates, and economic data has generally been strong.

However, Brexit, trade tensions, and possible economic overheating still remain as 2019 progresses.


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The three-day rolling average remained relatively flat during the reading period, beginning with a reading of 50.9 and ending the period with a reading of 51.0 – while reaching its peak of 52.7 on February 9.


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The next release of the ESI will be on Tuesday, March 5, 2019.

About the Index

The HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (“ESI”) is a “living” index that measures U.S. adults’ expectations for the economy going forward, as well as their feelings about current conditions for major purchases. The primary goal of the Index is to accurately measure movements in overall national economic sentiment, and to provide a more sophisticated alternative to existing economic sentiment indices. Unlike other prominent indices that release consumer sentiment estimates infrequently, the HPS-CivicScience Index is updated in real time as responses are collected continuously every hour, every day. Large-scale cross-tabulation of survey responses and consumer attributes enable more granular analyses than are currently possible through prevailing measures.

For a more detailed overview of the Index and the underlying methodology, please request a white paper.

About Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS)

Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS) is an analytical public affairs consulting firm with offices in Washington, D.C. and San Francisco. We integrate substantive analysis with communications and believe a deep understanding of business and economics leads to more effective public engagement and better outcomes for our clients.

For more information, visit Hamilton Place Strategies by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @HPSInsight.

About CivicScience

CivicScience, Inc. provides the leading intelligent polling and real-time consumer insights platform, the InsightStore™. Its proprietary platform powers the world’s opinions and quickly gets that data to the decision makers who care. Every day, CivicScience polls ask millions of people questions related to thousands of topics, while its powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.ts powerful data science and big data technology analyzes current consumer opinions, discovers trends as they start, and accurately predicts future behaviors and market outcomes. CivicScience polls run on hundreds of premier websites, in addition to its own public polling site at www.civicscience.com. CivicScience’s InsightStore™ is used by leading enterprises in marketing research, advertising, media, financial services, and political polling. For more information, visit CivicScience by clicking here and follow them on Twitter – @CivicScience.