Category Archives: Information and Insights

Consumer Confidence Continues To Edge Downward

Consumer confidence continued to decline over the past two weeks, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). The index dropped by a total of 1.2 points, declining from a reading of 53.1 points on April 3rd to 51.9 points on April 17th. This is the lowest level the ESI has hit since December 12th, 2017 and is 3.7 points off of its 2018 high from early February.

Continue reading

Consumer Confidence Dips Slightly But Remains Just Above Last Year’s Highs

Following a short bump in economic sentiment, consumer confidence declined by 0.5 points over the past two weeks to reach 53.1 points, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). While the ESI remains 2.5 points off 2018 highs, the index remains in line with 2017’s high-point of 53.2, a 0.1 point difference.

Continue reading

Economic Sentiment Recovers As Consumer Confidence In The Broader Economy Grows

After a dip in February, consumer confidence recovered slightly over the past two weeks, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). The index rose a total of 0.8 points, rising from a reading of 52.9 on March 6th to 53.7 on March 20th. Consumer confidence remains slightly above 2017 levels, as this week’s reading exceeded last year’s high-point of 53.2 by 0.5 points.

The recovery in economic sentiment was driven by a 2.1 point increase in consumer confidence in the broader economy, the largest move by any subcategory during the reading period.

Four out of the ESI’s five indicators rose during the two-week period. As stated above, confidence in the broader U.S. economy experienced the largest change of any indicator during the reading period, up from 49.6 to 51.7. Consumer sentiment toward making a major purchase also rose by 1.6 points to 54.4, its highest reading for 2018. Additionally, confidence in the U.S. labor market rose to 48.3.

Consumer confidence in personal finances declined for the third consecutive reading and was the only indicator to fall, dropping 1.2 points to 64.5 its lowest reading since July 11, 2017.

The ESI’s three-day rolling average ended the reading period on a low note at 52.5, 2.9 points off a high-point of 55.4. The moving average reached its lowest point of 51.6 the day following the announcement that National Economic Council Director Gary Cohn was leaving the White House.  Afterward, the three-day rolling average generally rose, reaching a high of 55.4 on March 16.

The next release of the ESI will be April 3, 2018.

Consumer Confidence Dips To Its Lowest Point Since December 2017

Consumer confidence dropped 1.4 points to 52.9, its lowest level in 2018 so far, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). This is the ESI’s second consecutive reading with a decline, following the previous reading’s drop of 1.3 points, from 55.6 to 54.3 on Tuesday, February 20.

Plunging confidence in the broader U.S. economy fueled the index’s overall decline, as that indicator dropped by 3.4 points to 49.6.

Continue reading

Consumer Confidence Falls For The First Time In 2018

Consumer confidence declined over the past two weeks for the first time in 2018, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). The index fell a total of 1.3 points, from 55.6 to 54.3, since the previous reading on February 6. This drop marks the first time the ESI has declined since the December 12 reading toward the end of 2017 and matches the index’s 2018 low point, which was set during the first reading of the year on January 9.

Continue reading

Consumer Confidence In Personal Finances, Broader U.S. Economy At Highest Levels In More Than Five Years

For the third-consecutive reading, consumer confidence reached a record high, rising 1.2 points to 55.6, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). Economic sentiment has reached new heights with every reading in 2018, as the overall ESI has increased a total of 2.5 points, from 53.1 on December 26, 2017, the last reading for 2017, to 55.6 on Tuesday, February 6, 2018.

In addition to record-setting confidence in the overall ESI, two of the five ESI indicators–confidence in the broader U.S. economy and in personal finances–also achieved record levels during the most recent reading.

Continue reading

Consumers Unperturbed By Government Shutdown, ESI Reaches Another Record High

Consumer confidence reached a record high for the second consecutive reading despite the brief federal government shutdown, rising 0.1 points to 54.4, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). A slight uptick in the reading pushed the ESI to its highest level since the index’s creation more than five years ago.

Rising confidence in the broader U.S. economy fueled the overall index’s ascent, as the indicator improved by 2.4 points to 53.8. With this increase, confidence in the broader U.S. economy surpasses confidence in making a major purchase for the first time since April 4, 2017.

Continue reading

ESI Sets New Record As Consumer Confidence Rises To Highest Level In More Than Five Years

Consumer confidence has reached its highest level in at least five years, as the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI) broke its all-time high today by surpassing all previous readings since it came into existence in 2013. The index rose 1.2 points to 54.3 over the past two weeks, building on the gains experienced at the end of 2017. Today’s record breaking reading surpassed the ESI’s previous all-time high of 53.3, achieved on January 13, 2015, by a full point. The unprecedented level of consumer confidence comes as American businesses and consumers prepare to operate under a new tax code for the first time in more than 30 years thanks to the passage of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.

Continue reading

Consumer Confidence Ends The Year On A High Note In The Final Reading Of 2017

In its final reading of 2017, the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI) jumped 1.8 points to reach 53.1, its second highest level achieved during the year. The increase in consumer confidence erases almost all of the losses the ESI experienced in each of the two readings since the index reached its peak of 53.2 on November 14. The ESI closes 2017 with a year-long average of 51.59, more than four points higher than its 2016 average of 47.53, indicating a significant and sustained improvement in economic sentiment among consumers.

Continue reading

Consumer Confidence Slides To Two-Month Low

Consumer confidence dropped 1.6 points to 51.3, its lowest level since falling to 50.7 on October 3, 2017, according to the HPS-CivicScience Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). This is the ESI’s second consecutive decline after dropping 0.3 points — from 53.2 to 52.9 — during the previous reading. The decline had little impact on the ESI’s 2017 average, which remains at 51.5, four points above its 2016 average of 47.5.

The index’s overall decline was driven by falling confidence across all five of the ESI’s indicators. This is the first time since April 4, 2017 that all five indicators declined during the same reading.

Continue reading